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Perhaps the most significant indicator of a Dem Presidential victory (regardless of who is on the ticket) is the way Obama's approval numbers have been trending upwards.  He's now up to approve +10% in the latest Gallup Poll.  It also gives the lie to the dominant media narrative that "America" is in the midst of a crisis in political leadership, and that Trump's surge represents widespread voter dissatisfaction with the establishment.  Yes of course there is widespread dissatisfaction on both left and right, but not enough to elect Trump (even with Yves' "progressives" support...)

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Jun 5th, 2016 at 05:31:32 AM EST
I am mostly concerned about self-dealing and self enrichment when it is not adequately compensated by actions in the public interest. The Clinton's endorsement of Reagan's framing of welfare and their uncritical embrace of neo-liberal trade policies are just two examples of the damage they have done. That is inadequately compensated by their advocacy of social isues such as defense of abortion, gay marriage and non-economic amelioration of the wrongs done to various minority groups. If the economic and systemic problems with the role of money are not effectively addressed all of those gains likely, eventually will be lost anyway.  

As the Dutch said while fighting the Spanish: "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere." (But it helps!)
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Sun Jun 5th, 2016 at 02:55:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The DLC line, thus the Bill and Hill line, was social tolerance if it didn't cost them any votes, Neo-liberal in economics, and Interventionist in foreign policy.  The first is pretty much a Done Deal with the RW losing its self-declared Kulturkampf.  I expect her to continue Obama's weak-tea economic policies.  And she is already making noises she will run a more "more muscular" foreign policy -- meaning BOMB THE BROWN PEOPLE! and, I suppose, putting more troops in Syria and Iraq to fight ISIS.

In other words: Business as Usual

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Mon Jun 6th, 2016 at 11:39:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Agree with the above unless she can win congress - Obama did pass the Stimulus act, ACA, some minimal financial re-regulation, allowed tax cuts for the wealthy to lapse and enabled the US car industry to survive in the two years he could act effectively on the economy. There is no reason to suppose he wouldn't have done a lot more had he had a congressional majority for longer - unless you are positing - as some progressives do, that he was more comfortable not having that majority.  Which I think is a bulsh1t post hoc rationalisation...

Overall, it wasn't enough to change the 40 year trend in the Gini index, although I can't find an up to date graph which kind of speaks for itself:



Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Jun 6th, 2016 at 01:28:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]
As for her foreign policy proclivities, she is simply following the standard Dem line of not allowing themselves to be outflanked by the Republicans on the right.  Obama did that by promising to escalate Afghanistan to compensate for withdrawing from Iraq.  It didn't stop him from being considerably less hawkish than Bush or McCain would have been in practice.  

It's a fool's errand expecting the US to be anything but hawkish in world affairs so long as it has untrammelled military superiority, is effectively above international law, and has a lot of multi-national companies interests to protect. That's the price you pay for a unipolar world, arguably preferable to the threat of Mutually assured destruction in a bipolar one, and less likely to lead to a world war than the multi-polar ones we had which resulted in two world wars.

In international relations everything is relative and the bar is set pretty low. In the late 1980's we had a brief period led by Gorbachev which resulted in a de-escalation of tensions and a winding down of a lot of colonial wars with only Israel a major blot on the horizon and some largely internally generated genocides in "developing countries". The more usual pattern is for there to be several major wars at the same time, a "normality" the US has been eager to reassert in more recent times. Syria is unique only insofar it is too close for European comfort...

Index of Frank's Diaries

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Jun 6th, 2016 at 01:54:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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